← All claims

Supplements · Sweeteners · Metabolic & Cardiometabolic

non-nutritive sweeteners increases cardiovascular disease

Leans support(Association does not establish cause) Supplements 🔬 Includes disconfirming

Part of: • non-nutritive sweeteners

RefutedContestedStrong support
consensus score 0.64
Why the rating is limited: association does not establish cause.

The evidence can show that two things occur together, but cannot on its own establish that one causes the other.

Before this limit: strong support. Final rating: leans support.

📅 Last reviewed: 2026-07-15 ⓘ

Evidence ladder

How far up the ladder this claim has climbed. A high consensus on a low rung means "consistent so far," not "proven in people."

Top evidence so far: All trials, pooled (Meta-analysis)

MechanismIn-vitroAnimalObservationalRCTMeta-analysis

How the studies fall

6 support 1 contradict 0 tested null 1 mixed · 8 sources, 7 independent groups

What the evidence shows

Cohort meta-analyses fairly consistently associate high artificially-sweetened-beverage intake with cardiovascular events and stroke — but the evidence is observational, heterogeneous, and confounded: a Women's-Health-Initiative network meta-analysis found no consistent pattern, umbrella reviews call it inconclusive, and bias-adjusted analyses flip toward benefit.

The evidence (10)

SourceGradeStanceQualityFinding
Beigrezaei S, Raeisi-Dehkordi H, Hernández Vargas JA, Amiri M, Artola Arita V, van der Schouw YT, Salehi-Abargouei A, Muka T, Chatelan A, Franco OH
2025 · Nutr Rev
meta-analysis supports moderate Umbrella review re-pooling multivariable HRs of 50 primary prospective cohorts from 6 meta-analyses: per 250 mL/d NSSB, stroke 'HR: 1.09; 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.13', CHD '1.06; 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.11'; CV mortality 1.07 (1.00-1.15, not robust in leave-one-out). Observational associations; authors note magnitudes 'are not large'.
Debras C, Chazelas E, Sellem L, Porcher R, Druesne-Pecollo N, Esseddik Y, de Edelenyi FS, Agaësse C, De Sa A, Lutchia R, Fezeu LK, Julia C, Kesse-Guyot E, Allès B, Galan P, Hercberg S, Deschasaux-Tanguy M, Huybrechts I, Srour B, Touvier M
2022 · BMJ
observational supports moderate NutriNet-Santé: artificial sweeteners (esp. aspartame, sucralose) associated with higher cardiovascular disease risk (coronary + cerebrovascular).
Meng Y, Li S, Khan J, Dai Z, Li C, Hu X, Shen Q, Xue Y
2021 · Nutrients
meta-analysis supports low Dose-response MA of prospective cohorts: 'The summary RR for CVDs for each additional ASB serving per day was 1.08 (95%CI: 1.04–1.11)' from only four cohorts (I2 = 45.5%, non-linear); highest-vs-lowest 'a 17% higher risk of CVDs was shown in these cohorts (RR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.06–1.29)'. All-cause mortality per serving was NULL — '7% (RR: 1.07, 95%CI: 0.91–1.25' — so the previous extract's mortality clause overstated the result. Quality low: the authors state that for ASBs 'the quality of the evidence is limited by potential bias and heterogeneity due to the design of the study'.
Qin P, Li Q, Zhao Y, Chen Q, Sun X, Liu Y, Li H, Wang T, Chen X, Zhou Q, Guo C, Zhang D, Tian G, Liu D, Qie R, Han M, Huang S, Wu X, Li Y, Feng Y, Yang X, Hu F, Hu D, Zhang M
2020 · Eur J Epidemiol
meta-analysis supports moderate Dose-response MA of 39 prospective-cohort articles; ASB endpoints pooled were obesity, T2DM, hypertension and all-cause mortality only: 'and 6% (RR = 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.10, I2 = 80.8%) for all-cause mortality' (non-linear, Pnon-linearity = 0.048). No cardiovascular-disease endpoint was analysed, so this paper does not test the CVD claim.
Yang B, Glenn AJ, Liu Q, Madsen T, Allison MA, Shikany JM, Manson JE, Chan KHK, Wu WC, Li J, Liu S, Lo K
2022 · Nutrients
meta-analysis mixed moderate WHI cohort + network MA: large between-study heterogeneity, no consistent pattern implicating ASB (or SSB/added sugar) in CVD outcomes.
Ayoub-Charette S, Kavanagh M, Khan T, Sievenpiper J
2025 · Appl Physiol Nutr Metab
meta-analysis contradicts high Umbrella review, units are syntheses: 'we conducted an umbrella review of systematic reviews and meta-analyses.' 'We included six trial- and five cohort-based analyses.' Cohort analyses: LNCS associated with higher CV mortality in naive analyses but 'lower body weight, waist circumference, obesity, coronary heart disease, and cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in bias-adjusted analyses.' Review — zero weight.
Owu RT, Annan EE, Ainuson-Quampah J, Asante M, Brown CA, Asare GA
2025 · Journal of nutrition and metabolism
animal supports low Rat model, 17wk. High-dose stevia group had highest Atherogenic Index of Plasma (0.21+/-0.07), dose-dependent increase; white sugar had highest Castelli Risk Index I/II.
Bhandari B, Zeng L, Grafenauer S, Schutte AE, Xu X
2024 · Curr Dev Nutr
meta-analysis contradicts low Meta-analysis of prospective cohorts with repeated beverage measures; the ASB-CVD mortality estimate rests on only 2 cohorts (Malik 2019 NHS/HPFS; Ma 2023 NHS/HPFS adults with T2D), 131,134 adults / 10,293 CVD deaths for the SSB-or-ASB pool. Clean null for artificially sweetened beverages, highest vs lowest intake: pooled HR 1.05 (95% CI 0.87-1.26), P=0.61, I2=61%. Same pool found SSB HR 1.31 (1.16-1.46). Outcome is CVD mortality (not incident CVD); exposure is ASB, a proxy for NNS; the two cohorts share the Harvard NHS/HPFS populations.
Queiroz I, Defante MLR, Tavares A, Antunes V, de Mesquita CF, Barbosa LM, Mendes BX, Koh AS
2025 · Curr Probl Cardiol
meta-analysis supports moderate MA: high ASB consumption associated with increased long-term cardiovascular events.
Narain A, Kwok CS, Mamas MA
2016 · Int J Clin Pract
meta-analysis supports moderate MA: sweetened soft drinks (incl. artificially sweetened) associated with higher CVD events/mortality.

Disagree, or know a study we missed?

We grade by evidence, not opinions. The way to weigh in is to point us to a study we haven't cited (check the evidence table above first), or to flag a problem with one we have. Every submission is reviewed; if it holds up, the grade updates and shows in Science Changes Its Mind.

📚 Suggest a study ⚑ Flag / request reclassification

Opens a short form. You'll sign in with Google so submissions are tied to a real account — we don't display your identity, and we only accept a link we can verify (PubMed, DOI, ClinicalTrials.gov).

Educational only, not medical advice. Grades and scores reflect published evidence weighted by study design and quality; see the methodology.